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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+1.01vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.70+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.68-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.34-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.11+0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.28-1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-2.12-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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4.6Northwestern University-0.700.1%1st Place
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2.74University of Michigan0.680.2%1st Place
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3.22University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Illinois-0.280.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Chicago-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Marozza | 43.7% | 28.3% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hershenhorn | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 24.8% | 24.3% | 9.9% |
| Will Neubauer | 20.1% | 29.5% | 22.7% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Stone | 17.2% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 20.7% | 14.7% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Victor Nartovich | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 33.9% | 19.7% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 8.6% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 22.5% | 15.3% | 5.3% |
| Logan Noel | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.