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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.68+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.32-0.05vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-1.11+1.13vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-0.28-0.97vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.96-1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-2.12-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of Michigan0.680.2%1st Place
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1.95University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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3.17University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
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5.13University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Illinois-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.94Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Chicago-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neubauer | 24.7% | 26.9% | 22.1% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Allison Marozza | 43.8% | 31.7% | 14.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 15.6% | 19.4% | 24.6% | 20.9% | 13.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Victor Nartovich | 2.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 22.3% | 31.3% | 18.1% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 7.5% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 23.3% | 22.4% | 13.5% | 5.0% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.3% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 29.0% | 15.0% |
| Logan Noel | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.