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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.68+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.32-0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.28+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.34-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.11+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-2.12+0.24vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.96-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Michigan0.680.2%1st Place
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1.98University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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3.98University of Illinois-0.280.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Chicago-2.120.0%1st Place
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4.8Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neubauer | 23.9% | 26.0% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Allison Marozza | 42.8% | 31.6% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 8.8% | 10.0% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 3.9% |
| Michael Stone | 15.6% | 19.8% | 23.7% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Victor Nartovich | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 23.1% | 30.0% | 19.0% |
| Logan Noel | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 63.0% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.5% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 23.2% | 29.0% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.