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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.34+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.68-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-1.11+1.37vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.70-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-2.12+0.35vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.58-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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3.42University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Michigan0.680.2%1st Place
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5.37University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.86Northwestern University-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Chicago-2.120.0%1st Place
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2.95Northwestern University0.580.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Marozza | 40.8% | 26.9% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stone | 12.0% | 18.2% | 20.8% | 24.4% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Will Neubauer | 19.9% | 21.8% | 24.1% | 18.9% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Victor Nartovich | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 20.1% | 37.8% | 20.4% |
| Sarah Hershenhorn | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 28.8% | 28.0% | 11.5% |
| Logan Noel | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 65.9% |
| Anton de Lesseps | 21.2% | 20.7% | 21.7% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.