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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+2.42vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.58+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.32-0.86vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.68-0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.11+0.56vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.28+0.94vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.70-2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-2.12-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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3.13Northwestern University0.580.2%1st Place
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2.14University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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3.04University of Michigan0.680.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.94Miami University-2.280.0%1st Place
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5.0Northwestern University-0.700.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Chicago-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 14.3% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 21.7% | 15.7% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Anton de Lesseps | 17.3% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 39.2% | 28.1% | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 19.2% | 21.9% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Victor Nartovich | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 17.0% | 29.5% | 21.5% | 9.7% |
| Zachary Anderson | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 12.5% | 26.2% | 48.1% |
| Sarah Hershenhorn | 5.4% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 23.6% | 25.8% | 13.7% | 4.9% |
| Logan Noel | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 33.8% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.