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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+0.78vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.28+1.04vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.28+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.44+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.85-0.20vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.92-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.31-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78University of Michigan1.410.5%1st Place
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3.04University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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3.97Northwestern University-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.86Northwestern University-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 54.7% | 24.5% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Youtt | 16.0% | 27.5% | 21.2% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Sidles | 8.7% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 7.8% |
| Maya Smith | 7.1% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 9.3% |
| Jack Rickman | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 20.8% |
| Avery Zieper | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 22.5% |
| Nick Nowicki | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.