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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41-0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.44+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.85+1.03vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.16+1.93vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.28-1.99vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.92-1.84vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-1.31-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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1.82University of Michigan1.410.5%1st Place
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4.28University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
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6.93Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
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4.01Northwestern University-0.280.1%1st Place
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5.16Northwestern University-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Youtt | 17.3% | 23.4% | 21.9% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Sherman Thompson | 51.5% | 27.5% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maya Smith | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 3.4% |
| Jack Rickman | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 9.8% |
| Jack Brownlee | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 19.3% | 55.9% |
| Charlie Sidles | 9.3% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Avery Zieper | 4.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 20.1% | 10.4% |
| Nick Nowicki | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.