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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+0.74vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.28+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.44+1.11vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.83+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.85-0.28vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.73-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.31-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74University of Michigan1.410.6%1st Place
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2.96University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.11University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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4.71Northwestern University-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.72University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.49Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 55.9% | 24.5% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Youtt | 16.9% | 28.4% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Maya Smith | 7.6% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% |
| Guilherme Vendemiatti | 4.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 21.2% | 19.7% | 18.4% |
| Jack Rickman | 4.7% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 19.3% |
| Samuel Balka | 6.8% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 16.2% |
| Nick Nowicki | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 22.7% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.