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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+3.19vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.92+3.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.33+1.33vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.84+1.60vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.55+5.75vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.84+1.38vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.28-3.52vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.97-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland2.09-2.23vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.66+0.51vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.85-4.39vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University0.98-3.11vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.13-2.35vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.20-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.3Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.33U. S. Naval Academy3.330.2%1st Place
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5.6George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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11.75University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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8.38Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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4.48SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
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7.99Christopher Newport University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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11.51William and Mary0.660.0%1st Place
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8.61Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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10.89Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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12.65Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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12.49Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Johns | 17.0% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 15.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 16.4% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linda Codega | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 15.3% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Russell Cramer | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Bryan | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 14.3% |
| John O'Riordan | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Paul Luisi | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 8.6% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 21.8% | 30.4% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.