Race 8B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Morrison 54.0% 26.9% 11.1% 5.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Zagalsky 8.4% 13.7% 16.2% 14.4% 12.8% 10.7% 8.6% 7.3% 4.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Lucas Randle 8.2% 14.2% 15.1% 15.2% 12.8% 11.7% 8.9% 6.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Lance Shrum 8.0% 10.3% 13.8% 13.2% 13.9% 12.8% 9.9% 7.9% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Cole Crosby 5.1% 7.7% 10.0% 11.5% 13.4% 11.7% 12.3% 9.8% 7.8% 6.5% 3.0% 1.4%
John TIS 4.4% 6.5% 10.0% 9.8% 10.9% 9.8% 12.9% 12.3% 9.0% 7.5% 5.0% 2.1%
McCaslin Miles 1.7% 1.9% 3.0% 3.5% 4.4% 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 9.5% 12.8% 17.9% 26.2%
Brendan van Riper 2.1% 5.0% 4.8% 6.2% 6.9% 8.2% 8.9% 11.2% 12.6% 11.9% 12.8% 9.4%
Christian Aron 2.9% 4.3% 5.2% 6.3% 6.8% 9.7% 9.6% 10.8% 13.8% 12.3% 11.2% 7.0%
Amelia Mignone 2.4% 4.7% 5.3% 6.3% 7.6% 8.6% 9.1% 11.7% 11.9% 13.8% 11.6% 7.0%
Julia Marich 1.0% 2.6% 2.9% 4.7% 5.2% 5.5% 6.7% 7.5% 10.3% 13.9% 18.2% 21.3%
Reagan Bottomley 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.6% 3.8% 5.3% 6.8% 7.4% 11.2% 13.4% 17.4% 24.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.