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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.44+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.280.00vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.73+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.85-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.31-0.63vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.83-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75University of Michigan1.410.5%1st Place
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4.07University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.57Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
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4.49Northwestern University-0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 54.6% | 25.9% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Maya Smith | 8.0% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 9.2% |
| Sarah Youtt | 16.4% | 28.2% | 21.6% | 16.3% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Balka | 5.4% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 19.0% | 16.1% |
| Jack Rickman | 4.5% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 21.0% |
| Nick Nowicki | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 36.4% |
| Guilherme Vendemiatti | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 20.3% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.