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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41-0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.44+1.18vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.28-0.04vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.92-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.85-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.31-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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1.77University of Michigan1.410.5%1st Place
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4.18University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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3.96Northwestern University-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.91Northwestern University-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Youtt | 18.0% | 25.7% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Sherman Thompson | 51.5% | 30.3% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maya Smith | 8.4% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 10.7% |
| Charlie Sidles | 9.0% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 7.0% |
| Avery Zieper | 4.4% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 22.8% | 22.6% |
| Jack Rickman | 4.7% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 19.9% |
| Nick Nowicki | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 21.3% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.