← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan0.28+2.21vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan1.41-0.17vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University-0.28+1.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota-0.85+1.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota-0.44-0.51vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.92-0.73vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-1.32-0.99vs Predicted
-
8University of Chicago-1.31-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
-
1.83University of Michigan1.410.5%1st Place
-
4.16Northwestern University-0.280.1%1st Place
-
5.2University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
-
4.49University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
-
5.27Northwestern University-0.920.1%1st Place
-
6.01Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
-
5.85University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Youtt | 16.6% | 23.6% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 50.8% | 27.1% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Sidles | 9.1% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Jack Rickman | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 14.2% |
| Maya Smith | 7.1% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 6.1% |
| Avery Zieper | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 16.8% |
| Erin Gallagher | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 31.7% |
| Nick Nowicki | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.