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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-0.44+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41-0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.280.00vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.83+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.85-0.24vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.73-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.31-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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1.73University of Michigan1.410.5%1st Place
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3.0University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.71Northwestern University-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Minnesota-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.54Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Smith | 8.6% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
| Sherman Thompson | 54.9% | 27.3% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 17.0% | 26.4% | 21.7% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Guilherme Vendemiatti | 4.7% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 18.2% |
| Jack Rickman | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 21.0% | 19.2% |
| Samuel Balka | 5.6% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| Nick Nowicki | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 21.7% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.