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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+0.72vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.73+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.85+1.71vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.83+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.28-1.95vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.44-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.31-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72University of Michigan1.410.6%1st Place
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4.48Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Minnesota-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.72Northwestern University-0.830.0%1st Place
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3.05University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 55.3% | 26.7% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Balka | 6.3% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 14.5% |
| Jack Rickman | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 18.9% |
| Guilherme Vendemiatti | 4.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| Sarah Youtt | 15.1% | 28.4% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Maya Smith | 8.9% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 9.4% |
| Nick Nowicki | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 21.6% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.