← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Drexel University3.06+0.26vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute1.06+0.74vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University-0.46+1.80vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35+2.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19+0.94vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-1.24-0.06vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University-0.61-1.94vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.26Drexel University3.060.8%1st Place
-
2.74Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
-
4.8Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
6.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
-
5.94University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
-
5.94University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
-
5.06Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
-
4.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aram Donabed | 78.6% | 17.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 10.6% | 39.7% | 27.1% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 2.8% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| Kevin Johnston | 0.9% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 31.2% |
| Zachary Vance | 0.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 23.6% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 1.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 25.6% |
| Alison Reed | 2.2% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.8% | 15.5% | 23.0% | 21.7% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.