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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.36+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.86+2.22vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.92+1.35vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-1.16+0.80vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.67+0.72vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.07-1.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90-2.70vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.79-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Monmouth University0.360.4%1st Place
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4.22University of Delaware-0.860.1%1st Place
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4.35Drexel University-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.8Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
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5.72SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
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4.58Drexel University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 41.0% | 26.1% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 10.8% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 7.4% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 27.6% |
| Stephen Young | 10.1% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% |
| Tyler Butler | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 6.6% |
| Lars Sobieski | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.