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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University-1.07+3.82vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.36+0.45vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.86+1.48vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.92+0.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90-0.42vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.10vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.79-0.80vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-1.16-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Drexel University-1.070.1%1st Place
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2.45Monmouth University0.360.4%1st Place
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4.48University of Delaware-0.860.1%1st Place
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4.65Drexel University-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.1%1st Place
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3.9SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.93Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Young | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 13.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 35.9% | 24.8% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 11.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 7.7% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.6% |
| Tyler Butler | 8.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 10.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 13.5% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 4.3% |
| Lars Sobieski | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 41.2% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.