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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-0.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+0.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-1.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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2.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.2%1st Place
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2.26University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.4%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 23.8% | 22.3% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 20.2% | 22.9% | 22.8% | 19.0% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Quinn Wilson | 35.2% | 28.5% | 20.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 25.6% | 17.5% | 7.7% |
| Tristan Richmond | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 28.9% | 34.3% |
| Dylan Finestone | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 10.3% |
| Margot Mason | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 24.2% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.