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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.88+0.91vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.87+5.64vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.67+3.94vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+2.30vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.85+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.59-1.76vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.33-0.94vs Predicted
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8American University-1.01-2.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-2.68+0.27vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-1.92-2.61vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-2.58-1.87vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-2.38-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Virginia Tech0.8848.9%1st Place
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7.64University of Maryland-1.872.5%1st Place
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6.94Rutgers University-1.673.8%1st Place
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6.3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.434.0%1st Place
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5.01Drexel University-0.858.6%1st Place
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4.24University of Delaware-0.5911.7%1st Place
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6.06Princeton University-1.334.8%1st Place
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5.29American University-1.017.2%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Military Academy-2.681.4%1st Place
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7.39Catholic University of America-1.923.8%1st Place
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9.13Monmouth University-2.581.3%1st Place
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8.83St. John's College-2.381.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 48.9% | 27.3% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 7.9% |
| Karolina Debniak | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| John TIS | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Lucas Randle | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Coffill | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Crosby | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Lance Shrum | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| McCaslin Miles | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 28.9% |
| Christian Aron | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Julia Marich | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 26.2% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.