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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.68-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-1.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.82-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.4%1st Place
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2.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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2.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.2%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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4.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Wilson | 36.4% | 26.8% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| David Eastwood | 21.8% | 22.6% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 20.0% | 24.5% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 26.3% | 17.7% | 7.4% |
| Margot Mason | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 23.4% | 47.5% |
| Dylan Finestone | 8.3% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 22.5% | 18.7% | 10.4% |
| Tristan Richmond | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 28.7% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.