← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.93vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+0.24vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-0.10vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+0.30vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+0.58vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-0.17vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.2%1st Place
-
2.24University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.4%1st Place
-
2.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
-
4.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
-
5.83University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
-
4.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 22.4% | 21.1% | 22.7% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Quinn Wilson | 35.1% | 29.6% | 19.0% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| David Eastwood | 22.2% | 20.7% | 23.5% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 24.0% | 19.0% | 7.5% |
| Tristan Richmond | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 28.3% | 36.1% |
| Margot Mason | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 23.7% | 46.8% |
| Dylan Finestone | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 24.1% | 18.0% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.