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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-0.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.68-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-1.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.82-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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2.26University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.3%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.2%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 23.9% | 22.9% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Margot Mason | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 23.6% | 46.7% |
| Quinn Wilson | 34.0% | 31.4% | 17.8% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 21.7% | 20.0% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 18.0% | 9.1% |
| Dylan Finestone | 6.8% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 22.9% | 20.0% | 10.0% |
| Tristan Richmond | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 29.5% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.