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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.66+3.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.47+0.86vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.53+1.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.55-1.19vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.22-1.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.68-1.97vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-2.01-0.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-4.45-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Tufts University0.660.1%1st Place
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2.86Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.3Tufts University0.530.1%1st Place
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2.81Tufts University1.550.3%1st Place
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3.28Tufts University1.220.2%1st Place
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4.03Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University-4.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marley Hillman | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Aaron Klein | 24.6% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Jacob | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 28.8% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Art Cunningham | 25.7% | 22.5% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Douglas KcKeige | 17.9% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Van Gorder | 10.7% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 22.2% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Mountjoy | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 79.5% | 8.1% |
| Michael Edelman | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 7.2% | 91.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.