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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.55+1.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.66+2.13vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.68+1.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.47-1.11vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.22-1.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.53-1.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-2.01-0.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-4.45-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Tufts University1.550.3%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University0.660.1%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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2.89Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University1.220.2%1st Place
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4.26Tufts University0.530.1%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University-4.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Art Cunningham | 28.3% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marley Hillman | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 22.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Reid Van Gorder | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 22.7% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Aaron Klein | 23.2% | 24.0% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Douglas KcKeige | 17.4% | 20.4% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Jacob | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 26.7% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Alex Mountjoy | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 79.3% | 8.1% |
| Michael Edelman | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 7.4% | 91.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.