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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.66+3.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.53+2.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.22+0.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.68+0.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.47-2.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.55-3.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-2.01-0.23vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-4.45-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Tufts University0.660.1%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University0.530.1%1st Place
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3.24Tufts University1.220.2%1st Place
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4.08Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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2.89Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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2.77Tufts University1.550.3%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University-4.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marley Hillman | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 22.2% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| James Jacob | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 21.9% | 26.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Douglas KcKeige | 19.4% | 17.5% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 8.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Van Gorder | 10.2% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 25.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 23.1% | 24.5% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Art Cunningham | 27.0% | 22.3% | 20.8% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Mountjoy | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 79.3% | 8.2% |
| Michael Edelman | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 7.5% | 91.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.