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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.55+1.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.22+1.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.66+1.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.68+0.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.53-0.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.47-3.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-2.01-0.23vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-4.45-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Tufts University1.550.3%1st Place
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3.27Tufts University1.220.2%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University0.660.1%1st Place
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4.09Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University0.530.1%1st Place
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2.86Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University-4.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Art Cunningham | 27.0% | 24.5% | 20.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Douglas KcKeige | 18.2% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marley Hillman | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 21.3% | 22.8% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Reid Van Gorder | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 24.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jacob | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 26.9% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 24.2% | 21.9% | 20.6% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Mountjoy | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 79.4% | 8.2% |
| Michael Edelman | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 7.5% | 91.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.