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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.66+3.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.68+2.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.55-0.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.22-0.73vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.47-2.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.53-1.77vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-2.01-0.23vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-4.45-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Tufts University0.660.1%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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2.8Tufts University1.550.3%1st Place
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3.27Tufts University1.220.2%1st Place
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2.89Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.23Tufts University0.530.1%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University-4.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marley Hillman | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 21.5% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Reid Van Gorder | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Art Cunningham | 25.6% | 23.0% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Douglas KcKeige | 18.2% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 24.5% | 23.0% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Jacob | 9.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 26.9% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Mountjoy | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 79.6% | 8.1% |
| Michael Edelman | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 7.2% | 91.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.