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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.00vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.46+6.73vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.03+6.02vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.25+7.69vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+3.45vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16+2.68vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-0.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.04vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69-2.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.56vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04-1.54vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-5.53vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.65vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.62-7.08vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.27+0.30vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.70-0.14vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.80-10.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.73Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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4.31Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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10.02University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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12.69Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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9.45Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.68University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.35George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.84Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.47Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.92Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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16.3University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.86Texas A&M University-0.700.0%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 17.8% | 17.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 21.4% | 13.2% | 2.9% |
| Claire Havig | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Riley Legault | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Grace Howie | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joanna Garcia | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 37.7% | 37.3% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 6.7% | 25.5% | 56.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.