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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.88+0.93vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.59+2.30vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+3.35vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.85+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.87+2.51vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.67+0.93vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.92+0.54vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.33-1.97vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-2.38-0.34vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.68-0.54vs Predicted
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11American University-1.01-5.72vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.58-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Virginia Tech0.8848.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Delaware-0.5911.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.435.1%1st Place
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4.89Drexel University-0.858.3%1st Place
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7.51University of Maryland-1.872.9%1st Place
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6.93Rutgers University-1.674.5%1st Place
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7.54Catholic University of America-1.923.2%1st Place
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6.03Princeton University-1.335.0%1st Place
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8.66St. John's College-2.381.8%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Military Academy-2.681.2%1st Place
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5.28American University-1.017.6%1st Place
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9.13Monmouth University-2.581.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 48.0% | 27.9% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 11.1% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John TIS | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Lucas Randle | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 7.4% |
| Karolina Debniak | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Christian Aron | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 5.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| McCaslin Miles | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 30.9% |
| Lance Shrum | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Julia Marich | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.