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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+3.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.00vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+5.12vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.46+4.38vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+2.34vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+3.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.89vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+1.60vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.45vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69-2.19vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-3.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.21vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-2.99vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.25-1.40vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.03-4.91vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.27+0.29vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.70-0.12vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.80-10.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.0Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.12Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.38Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.34George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.39Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.6University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.73Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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10.01Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.6Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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16.29University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.88Texas A&M University-0.700.0%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 18.7% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Claire Havig | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 8.3% | 1.2% |
| Grace Howie | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 20.5% | 12.5% | 3.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Joanna Garcia | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 9.7% | 36.4% | 37.4% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 6.2% | 26.8% | 56.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.