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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.00vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.46+6.74vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+4.51vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+5.97vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.62vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16+2.65vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69-0.45vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24+0.31vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-2.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.91vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.03-1.57vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-5.22vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.80-7.05vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.25-2.20vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-4.49vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.27-0.66vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.70-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.74Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.51George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.97Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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4.2Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.62University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.65University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.82Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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7.78Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.8Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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11.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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16.34University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.73Texas A&M University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 21.2% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Claire Havig | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 2.6% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Joanna Garcia | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 36.1% | 39.3% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 28.5% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.