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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+6.38vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+7.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+3.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.72vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.46+3.29vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.62+1.77vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.25+5.77vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.03+1.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.69vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-3.48vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.69-4.18vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.24-3.93vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.89vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-5.01vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.27+0.24vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-5.53vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.70-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.8University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.41Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.77Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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12.77Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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5.58Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.52Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.99Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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16.24University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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11.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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16.74Texas A&M University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 21.7% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Havig | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Joanna Garcia | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 8.9% | 38.2% | 36.5% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 26.8% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.