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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+3.23vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+5.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+4.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+3.24vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.03+3.86vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.24+1.98vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.46+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.08vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.62-2.19vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16-1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.40vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-3.39vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.76-7.15vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-1.41vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.25-3.43vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.27-0.82vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.70-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.47Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.11Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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7.81Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.46University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.61Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.85George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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13.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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12.57Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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16.18University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.61Texas A&M University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 17.9% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Claire Havig | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Riley Legault | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kaller | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 4.8% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Joanna Garcia | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 32.7% | 37.0% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 6.8% | 26.4% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.