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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.04+8.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+2.18vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+4.52vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+3.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.95vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+3.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.03vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-2.47vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76-1.95vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.46-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+1.84vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-5.50vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.16-4.93vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.03-5.22vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.25-3.35vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.27-0.86vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.70-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.93Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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4.18Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.52Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.53Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.05George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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13.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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7.5Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.07University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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12.65Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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16.14University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.61Texas A&M University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Howie | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 16.8% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Claire Havig | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kaller | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 23.7% | 18.3% | 5.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 2.4% |
| Joanna Garcia | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 11.5% | 32.0% | 36.4% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 24.6% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.