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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+6.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+4.19vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+5.23vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+2.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.88vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+3.25vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.25+5.41vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69-0.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.27vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-2.63vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-1.24vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.24-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.03-3.48vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.10vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.20-9.58vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-2.30vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.27-0.87vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.70-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.19Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.23Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.87George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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12.41Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.37Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.76Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.29Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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13.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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16.13University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.56Texas A&M University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 8.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Claire Havig | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kaller | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 17.4% | 6.0% |
| Joanna Garcia | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 33.7% | 35.9% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 8.4% | 25.8% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.