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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.88+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.85+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+3.27vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.85+0.83vs Predicted
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5American University-1.01+0.22vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.92+1.48vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.33-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.57-1.30vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-2.58-0.04vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-2.63-0.88vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.99-3.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.68-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Virginia Tech0.8849.5%1st Place
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4.72University of Maryland-0.859.5%1st Place
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6.27University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.435.6%1st Place
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4.83Drexel University-0.858.8%1st Place
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5.22American University-1.017.3%1st Place
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7.48Catholic University of America-1.922.4%1st Place
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6.01Princeton University-1.335.3%1st Place
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6.7University of Delaware-1.574.3%1st Place
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8.96Monmouth University-2.581.7%1st Place
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9.12St. John's College-2.631.6%1st Place
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7.51Rutgers University-1.992.7%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Military Academy-2.681.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 49.5% | 26.5% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 9.5% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John TIS | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Lucas Randle | 8.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Christian Aron | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Sophie DeCoite | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Julia Marich | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 21.7% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 27.0% |
| Amelia Mignone | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
| McCaslin Miles | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.