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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+6.25vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+6.31vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.25+8.12vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+1.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02-0.16vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.62+0.27vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.03+0.50vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24-1.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.23vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.69-0.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-1.57vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.27+0.06vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.70-0.29vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.04-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.31University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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12.12Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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6.73George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.84Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.27Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.88Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.09Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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13.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.71Texas A&M University-0.700.0%1st Place
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9.31Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Riley Legault | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Claire Havig | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kaller | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 15.8% | 5.3% |
| Joanna Garcia | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 32.7% | 35.4% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 25.3% | 54.5% |
| Grace Howie | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.