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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+3.92vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.75vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.22+5.12vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+2.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+3.55vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.03+2.63vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.10vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94+0.87vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85+3.81vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-1.18vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-3.46vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-3.51vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.32-3.08vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.73-5.34vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.16-0.51vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.20-2.30vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.43-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.75Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.12Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.63Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.87University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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12.81Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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7.54George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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9.66Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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15.49University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.7Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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15.86Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 5.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 24.8% | 30.4% |
| Grace Siwicki | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 22.8% | 18.9% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 24.3% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.