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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+3.82vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+2.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+5.84vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.00vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03+3.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.25vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65-0.70vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+0.61vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.94-0.88vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.32+0.33vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-3.10vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.22-5.21vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.85-1.44vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.73-5.37vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.16-0.48vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.20-2.27vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.43-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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4.84Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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6.3Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.31George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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7.79Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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12.56Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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15.52University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.73Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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15.89Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Allison Marozza | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Sole | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 26.2% | 30.3% |
| Grace Siwicki | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 22.5% | 18.7% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 12.0% | 24.7% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.