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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.03+7.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+6.86vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.22+3.75vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18-0.37vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.06vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73+1.66vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.03-0.49vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-1.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.94-2.79vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-6.75vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.32-3.06vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.16+0.47vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University-0.43+0.04vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.85-4.03vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.20-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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4.84Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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7.75Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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4.63Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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7.37George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.66Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.21University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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15.47University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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16.04Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.97Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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14.46Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Maus | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Sole | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 18.1% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 25.0% | 30.6% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 23.0% | 43.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
| Grace Siwicki | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 20.2% | 22.7% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.