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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+5.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+2.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+1.72vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.03+4.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+3.60vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+6.83vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+1.54vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94+0.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+0.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.58vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-3.45vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.73-1.96vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.22-5.25vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.32-3.12vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.90vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.20-1.33vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.43-0.94vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.16-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.86Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.72Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.5Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.83Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.91University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.55George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.04Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.75Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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14.67Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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16.06Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.8% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 5.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Sole | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Allison Marozza | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Siwicki | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 21.9% | 17.8% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 23.8% | 43.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 17.2% | 25.0% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.