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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+5.53vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+2.83vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+1.73vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+8.62vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.94+3.88vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.03+2.66vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+0.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.11vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.64vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73-1.11vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.22-3.80vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.49vs Predicted
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14Tulane University0.20+0.42vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.32-3.83vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.16-0.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-7.18vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.43-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.73Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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12.62Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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8.66Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.35George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.89Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.2Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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14.42Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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15.5University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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15.89Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 5.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Sole | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Siwicki | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 20.5% | 16.8% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 25.3% | 31.1% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 13.4% | 21.1% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.