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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+6.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.94+6.18vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+8.68vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+2.31vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96+2.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+1.57vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15-3.33vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.22-1.16vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-3.47vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.68vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.73-2.00vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-4.57vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.32-3.11vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.20-0.38vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-6.33vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.16-1.47vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.43-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.74Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.18University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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12.68Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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7.31George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.85Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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4.67Boston College3.150.2%1st Place
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7.84Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.53Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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10.0Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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14.62Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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15.53University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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15.82Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 5.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Allison Marozza | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Grace Siwicki | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 23.2% | 17.4% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 23.3% | 33.3% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 13.9% | 23.3% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.