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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.85+3.79vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.88-0.12vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-2.58+5.94vs Predicted
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4American University-1.01+1.20vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.57+0.47vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.85-2.15vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.92-0.59vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.99-1.43vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-1.33-4.04vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.63-1.75vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.68-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79University of Maryland-0.858.5%1st Place
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1.88Virginia Tech0.8850.3%1st Place
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8.94Monmouth University-2.581.4%1st Place
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5.2American University-1.016.3%1st Place
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6.35University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.435.5%1st Place
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6.47University of Delaware-1.574.8%1st Place
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4.85Drexel University-0.859.4%1st Place
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7.41Catholic University of America-1.923.4%1st Place
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7.57Rutgers University-1.993.0%1st Place
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5.96Princeton University-1.335.0%1st Place
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9.25St. John's College-2.631.4%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Military Academy-2.681.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zagalsky | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Riecker | 50.3% | 26.2% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 22.8% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| John TIS | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Sophie DeCoite | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Lucas Randle | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Christian Aron | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 6.0% |
| Amelia Mignone | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 7.1% |
| Cole Crosby | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 26.7% |
| McCaslin Miles | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.