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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+3.79vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.73+7.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+6.71vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+7.51vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.85+7.42vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+0.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.10vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.03-0.67vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-1.36vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-3.64vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.32-0.73vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.13vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.22-6.56vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.20-0.50vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-7.28vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.16-1.57vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.43-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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11.51Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.42Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.51Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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6.9University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.33Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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7.36George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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14.5Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.72University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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15.43University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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15.74Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 17.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 22.6% | 16.7% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 23.1% | 32.5% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.