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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+3.72vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+5.37vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+1.75vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.73+5.37vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.94+3.71vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.14+5.67vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+0.32vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.03-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-0.35vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.32+0.05vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-6.94vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.22-6.58vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College0.85-2.42vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.16-0.60vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.20-2.39vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.43-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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7.37George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.75Boston College3.150.2%1st Place
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9.37Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.71University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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11.67Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.42Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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12.58Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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15.4University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.61Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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15.79Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 15.1% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 15.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Allison Marozza | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 4.9% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 24.4% | 29.7% |
| Alanna Austin | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 18.1% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 22.1% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.