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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.14+10.71vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+5.26vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.03+5.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+0.43vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+4.35vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+6.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.67vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65-2.04vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.94-0.39vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.30-2.48vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.03vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.22-4.04vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.32-2.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-5.95vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-5.71vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.20-1.46vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.16-1.61vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.43-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.71Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.26George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.5Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.43Boston College3.150.2%1st Place
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9.35Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.63Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.61University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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7.52Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.96Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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14.54Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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15.39University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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15.75Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 17.9% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Sole | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Christina Nothacker | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alanna Austin | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 18.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 24.8% | 30.8% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 13.1% | 22.8% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.