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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.42vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.55+6.02vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+3.28vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+2.98vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.09vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14+3.33vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.52vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.60vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-3.90vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.00+3.10vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.75-0.33vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-3.24vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.88vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.40-5.92vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.02+0.44vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota-0.16-0.27vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.26-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.14-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.02Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.98Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.09College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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9.33Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.1Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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13.1Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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15.44University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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15.73University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.85Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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14.91University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 21.0% | 27.0% |
| Clara Brown | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 21.2% | 32.5% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 18.2% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 21.1% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.