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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.42vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+6.71vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+5.85vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.01vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+4.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+2.41vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+0.03vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-2.91vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-3.95vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.56vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.55-3.09vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.16vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-0.16+2.56vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.75-3.64vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.00-2.06vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.02-0.56vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.26-2.13vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.14-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.03Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.09College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.91Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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15.56University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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12.94Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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15.44University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.87Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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14.91University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.2% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clara Brown | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 21.7% | 31.5% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 22.9% | 26.4% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 19.2% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 20.0% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.