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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+7.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+2.27vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.01vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.55+2.74vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35-0.84vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.25vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.54vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.53vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-1.39vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-1.62vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-4.70vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.75-2.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.02+1.25vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.00-2.04vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota-0.16-0.23vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.26-2.10vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.14-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.34Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.27College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.74Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.16Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.38Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.3Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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15.25University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.96Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.9Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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14.94University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 21.4% | 23.9% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Clara Brown | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 22.4% | 33.7% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 19.2% |
| Emily Verdoia | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 22.7% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.